Professor of Government
Director, Program in Politics & Law
Hinman Box: HB 6108
- B.A. University of Virginia; M.A. Duke University; Ph.D. Duke University
Areas of Expertise
- Elections; public opinion; political parties and interest groups; lawmaking; statutory interpretation; Congress; presidency; budgeting
- Game theory; experiments; statistical methods; survey research
- “Affective Forecasting Errors in the 2008 Election: Underpredicting Happiness,” with Catherine Norris and Amanda Dumville. Political Psychology 32,2 (2011):235-49.
- “Testing Proximity Versus Directional Voting Using Experiments,” with Philip Paolino. Electoral Studies 29 (2010):460-471.
- “A Theory of Issue Linkage and Economic Sanctions: The Roles of Information, Preferences, and Threats,” with Emerson Niou, Journal of Politics , 66,1 (2004):25-42.
- “Economic Performance, Job Insecurity, and Electoral Choice.” with Anthony Mughan, British Journal of Political Science, 32, 3 (2002): 513-33.
- “Nonseparable Preferences, Measurement Error, and Unstable Survey Responses,” Political Analysis, 9,2 (2001):1-21.
- “A Theory of Nonseparable Preferences in Survey Responses,” American Journal of Political Science, 45,2 (2001):239-258. [Errata 45(3)]
- “Complex Opinions: How Survey Research Underestimates the Mass Public;”
- “Taxing, Spending, Red States, and Blue States: The Political Economy of Redistribution in the American Federal System;”
- “Voting in a System of Checks and Balances: Institutions and Voter Choice in US Presidential and Gubernatorial Elections